Should you buy double on DCA when Bitcoin crashes?
Short answer: No. Not by saving up for it. Keeping $25 a week back to buy double in deep falls was ahead in only 34% of four-year runs and 0% of ten-year runs: the waiting cash missed Bitcoin's rises.
What we tested: Buy double when Bitcoin is 50%+ below its record, or the same amount every week? Both plans set aside $100 a week; the double plan buys $75 in normal weeks and saves $25, then spends $100 plus up to $100 of the savings in deep-fall weeks. Every start week since 2011, 1% cost on each buy and the sale
What it means for you
Buying plans and portfolios: what this family of tests supports, in plain moves. Information only, not financial advice.
- How much and how steadily you bought mattered more than picking the day.
- A simple fixed plan with occasional rebalancing held up; spreading into many smaller coins did not beat concentrating in the biggest ones.
- The plan you can keep through a crash beats the clever one you abandon.
Coins in this test
Live price, trend check and how every tested rule did on that coin alone.
All 11 tests on DCA and buying plans →
Tested on past prices with no fees unless stated; the past is no promise. Information only, not financial advice. Every other test →